Daniil Ostapenkov vs Aristarkh Safonov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve efficiency: Ostapenkov has secured 39.96% of second serve points in recent form, while Safonov has achieved 45.67%. Could this indicate a crucial advantage for Safonov in the upcoming match?
• Return game statistics: Ostapenkov wins 45.93% of opponents' second serve points, slightly behind Safonov's 47.12%. For first serve returns, Safonov again has the upper hand with 26.67% compared to Ostapenkov's 23.52%.
• Pressure handling: Breakpoint saving under pressure shows Ostapenkov at 45.22%, trailing behind Safonov's 59.04%. This aspect could favor Safonov in tight game situations.
• Overall performance: In the last year, Ostapenkov boasts a 74.07% win rate (40/14), outperforming Safonov's 62.16% (23/14). Is this a significant indicator of Ostapenkov's potential victory?
• Best surface: Both players excel on Hard courts, with Ostapenkov at 69% and Safonov at 68% success rates. They both struggle on Clay surfaces.
• Match level: Ostapenkov and Safonov primarily compete at the $10K Futures/Satellites/ITF level, with Ostapenkov having a higher win rate.
• Opponent quality: The average rank of opponents faced by Ostapenkov is 244.07, slightly tougher than Safonov's average opponent rank of 246.38.
• Deciding set capability: Ostapenkov has a stronger track record in deciding sets, winning 67% compared to Safonov's 58% over the last year.
• Current event gains: Performance at the current event can add perspective; keeping an eye on which player shows in-form play might indicate the match favorite.
• Breakpoint conversion: Safonov shows slightly better conversion with 32.56% of opportunities taken, as opposed to Ostapenkov's 28%.

Editorial Prediction (August 5, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents intriguing dynamics with both players having distinct strengths and weaknesses. Safonov's superior second serve performance and breakpoint conversion could provide key advantages.

Ostapenkov has shown a higher success rate overall and excels in deciding sets, suggesting resilience in critical stages. His stronger performance record may bolster his confidence.

While both players share success on Hard courts, Ostapenkov's overall performance and ability to handle decisive moments might give him a slight edge.

In conclusion, despite Safonov's solid serve statistics, Ostapenkov's comprehensive performance and ability to prevail in tight sets suggest he is more likely to win this match.